Gothos

With the release of both the 2010 Census profiles for ZCTAs (ZIP Code Tabulation Areas) and the TIGER line files for 2010 Census geographies, I created another Google Map finding aid for NYC neighborhood data by ZIP code (I previously created one for PUMAs with American Community Survey data). Once again I used the Export to KML plugin that was created for ArcGIS. This allowed me to use the TIGER shapefile in ArcGIS to create the map I wanted and then export it as a KML, while using fields in the attribute table of each feature to insert the ZCTA number into stable links for the census profiles, automatically generating unique urls for each feature. Click on the ZCTA in the map, and then click on a link to open a profile directly from the new American Factfinder.

There were two new obstacles I had to contend with this time. The first was that my department has finally migrated to Windows 7 from Windows XP, and I upgraded from ArcGIS 9.3 to 10. I had to reinstall the Export to KML plugin (version 2.5.5) and ran into trouble; fortunately all the work-arounds were included in the plugin’s documentation. I don’t have administrator rights on my machine, so I had to have someone install the plugin as an administrator; this included running the initial setup file AND running Arc as an administrator as you add and turn the plugin on. That was straightforward, but when I ran it the first time I got an error message – there’s a particular Windows dll or ocx file that the plugin needs and it was missing (presumably something that was included in XP but not in 7). I downloaded the necessary file, and with administrator rights moved it into the system32 folder and registered the file via the command line. After that I was good to go.

The second issue was with the Census Bureau’s new American Factfinder. With the old Factfinder the urls that were generated as you built and accessed tables were static and you could simply save and bookmark them. Not the case in the new Factfinder; you can bookmark some basic tables but most of them are “too complex to bookmark”; you can save and download queries from the online ap but that’s it. After some digging I found a CB document that tells you how you can create deep links to any query you run and table you create. The url consists of a fixed series of codes that identify the dataset, year, table, and geography. So this link:

http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/DEC/10_DP/DPDP1/8600000US10010

Tells us that were getting a table from version 1.0 of the American Factfinder in English. It’s from the Decennial Census, 2010 Demographic Profiles, Demographic Profile Table 1, for ZCTA 10010 (860 is the summary level code that indicates we’re looking at ZCTAs). So for the plugin to create the links, I just included this URL but for the last five digits I specified the attribute from the ZCTA shapefile that held the ZCTA code. So when the plugin creates the KML, each KML feature has a link generated that is specific to it:

http://factfinder2.census.gov/bkmk/table/1.0/en/DEC/10_DP/DPDP1/8600000US[ZCTA5CE10]

You can see this previous post for details on how the Export to KML plugin works.

For now, the 2010 and 2000 Census are in the new American Factfinder. The American Community Survey, the Economic Census, population estimates, and a few other datasets are still in the older, legacy Factfinder. According to the CB all of this data will be migrated to the new Factfinder by the end of 2011 and the legacy version will disappear. At that point I’ll have to update my PUMA map so that it points to the profiles in the new Factfinder.

You can take a look at the ZCTA map and profiles below (I’m hosting it on the NYC data resource guide I’ve created for my college). As I’ve written before, ZCTAs are odd Census geographies since they are approximations of residential USPS ZIP Codes created by aggregating census blocks based on addresses; you can see in many instances where boundaries have a blocky teeth-like appearance instead of straight lines. Since they’re created directly by aggregating blocks, ZCTAs don’t correspond or mesh with other census boundaries like tracts or PUMAs, or even legal boundaries like counties. In some cases my assignment of county-based colors doesn’t ring true. For example, ZCTA 11370 includes part of the East Elmhurst neighborhood in Queens and Rikers Island, which is in the Bronx. ZCTA 10463 includes the Bronx neighborhoods of Kingsbridge and Spuyten Duyvil and the Manhattan neighborhood of Marble Hill (a geographic anomaly; it’s not on the Island of Manhattan but it’s part of Manhattan borough).

The most salient issue with ZCTAs is that they are only tabulated for the decennial census and not the American Community Survey; the currency of data and spectrum of census variables will be limited compared to other types of geography.

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Ever since I created the Google Maps finding aid for census data for NYC PUMAs and the associated PUMA – NYC neighborhood names maps, I’ve received several requests for tables or maps that relate PUMAs to ZIP Codes. These are usually from non-profits in NYC who have lists of donors, members, or constituents with addresses, and they want to relate the addresses (using the ZIP) to recent demographic data from American Community Survey (ACS) for the broader neighborhood where the ZIP is located.

The problem is that ZIP Codes are an all around pain. They actually don’t exist as areas with distinct boundaries; ZIP Codes are all address based, with ZIPs tied to addresses along street segments. The USPS doesn’t publish these tables or create maps; they contract this out for private companies to do, who turn around and sell these products for hefty fees.

Fortunately the Census Bureau has used these address tables to create approximations of ZIP Codes that they call ZCTAs or ZIP Code Tabulation Areas. ZCTAs are aggregates of census blocks that attempt to mimic ZIP Codes that exist as areas; codes associated with specific single-point firms or organization are dropped. Since ZIPS were created by the USPS, ZCTAs do not nest or mesh with any census geography; they cross PUMA, county, and in some cases even state boundaries. They are also less stable than census geography, with frequent changes, and as statistical areas they vary widely in area and population. For this reason ZCTA data is only published every ten years in the decennial census; it’s not included in the ACS (so far).

With these caveats in mind, I used the Missouri Census Data Center’s MABLE/GEOCORR engine to correlate ZCTAs with PUMAs. While the interface looks a little retro and daunting, it’s actually pretty simple. You choose the state, the two geographies you want to relate, the weighting method for allocating one to the other, and an output format that includes CSV or HTML. I also used an option that lets you type in FIPS codes for the counties you want, so I didn’t end up with the entire state.

This method was the way to go, as they give you the option to allocate geographies based on population and not simply land area; each ZCTA was allocated to PUMAs based on where the majority of the ZCTA’s population lived using 2000 census block data. The final output contains one row for each ZCTA to PUMA combination. So you had multiple rows for ZCTAs that weren’t contained within a single PUMA, and for each of those ZCTAs you had fields that showed the percentage of the ZCTA’s population that lived in each PUMA (along with the actual population number) as well as the percentage of the PUMA’s population that lived in that ZCTA.

I took that table and cleaned it up in a spreadsheet, so that I was left with one row for each ZCTA, where the ZCTA was allocated to one PUMA based on where the majority of it’s population lives. I used some ZCTA and PUMA boundaries that I had originally downloaded and subsequently cleaned up from the 2009 TIGER shapefiles page, added them to QGIS, joined the ZCTA allocation table to the ZCTA geography, and mapped the result. I color-coded ZCTAs so that clusters of ZCTAs within a particular PUMA had the same color. Then I overlaid the PUMA boundaries on top to see how well they corresponded.

In the end, they didn’t correspond all that well. There was a fairly good relationship in Manhattan, ok relationship in Queens and Staten Island, and a rather lousy relationship in the Bronx and Brooklyn. I overlaid greenspace and facilities (airports, shipyards, etc) boundaries I had, and that made some difference; you could see in some areas where ZCTAs overlapped two PUMAs that the overlap coincided with parks, cemeteries, or other areas with low or no residential population in one of the PUMAs.

I’ve posted both sets of tables, maps, and some instructions on the NYC neighborhoods resource page. You can use the original MABLE / GEOCORR table to judge where allocations were good and were they were not so good based on population. For now, the engine is still based on 2000 Census geography and data. Even though the Census has started releasing 2010 TIGER files based on 2010 Census geography, ZCTAs and PUMAs are often some of the last geographies to be updated; current releases of the ACS are still based on the 2000 geographies. Stay tuned to the Census Bureau and MCDC websites for news on updates, and keep the MABLE / GEOCORR in mind if you want to create lists to relate census geographies by population or land area.